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Eugene Doyle: The dismemberment of Syria is a crime

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Israeli tanks crossing the Syrian border
Israeli tanks crossing the Syrian border, taking advantage of the collapse of Assad's regime. Image: Kanal 13

COMMENTARY: By Eugene Doyle

What we are witnessing is not just the end of a regime but quite possibly the destruction of the Syrian state.

We are being told by the Western media that we should join Benjamin Netanyahu, Joe Biden and the Europeans in celebrating what risks being the creation of yet another failed state in the Middle East/West Asia.

I shed no tears for Assad — nor would I if any of the US’s preferred family dictatorships in the region fell. I’m happy for the prisoners who have been freed; could we also free those in Guantanamo Bay, Israel and all the US torture/black sites in places like Jordan, Thailand, Poland, Romania, Lithuania and Kosovo?

People liberating themselves from a dictator
People liberating themselves from a dictator is admirable; state destruction, in contrast, is a grave crime against humanity. Image: www.solidarity.co.nz

When I see that most of the destruction to the country has occurred after Assad has left and that Israel is in the lead in destroying the military and administrative foundations of a viable state, there seems little to give me hope that Syria will be united, sovereign and free any time soon.

Political scientists say that “state monopoly on violence” — the concept that the state alone has the right to use or authorise the use of force (and has the means to ensure compliance within its territory) — is a sine qua non of a viable state.

Assad has fled, the armed forces have vanished yet the Israelis, in particular, by their massive ongoing air strikes on the country’s navy, air force, military installations and arms depots, are ensuring the incoming government will struggle to defend itself against aggressors foreign or domestic.

Permanent dismemberment could easily follow, with Israel already over-running the UN buffer zone and taking territory in the south, and the US and its Kurdish allies holding a huge swathe of the northeast.

Syria risks dismemberment
Syria risks dismemberment . . . Israeli troops seize a Syrian military post. Image: www.solidarity.co.nz

The extent of Turkish ambitions is unclear and whether the Russians hold on to their bases in Tartus and at Khmeimim is unresolved. The fate of the two million Alawites and other minorities is also unsure. The country is awash in arms and factions.

People liberating themselves from a dictator is admirable; state destruction, in contrast, is a grave crime against humanity because it robs millions of people of the ability to meet even the most basic needs of existence.


Israeli tanks invade Syria.     Video: Kanal 13

Look at Libya.  In 2011, the US-NATO bombing campaign turned the tide against the Gaddafi regime. US drones spotted Gaddafi’s motorcade fleeing Sirte and signalled to French jets to strike the convoy.  Locals finished the job.

As Hillary Clinton, the US Secretary of State, said with a chuckle during a TV interview hours afterwards:  “We came. We saw. He died.”  A sick variant of “Veni, vidi, vici” (I came, I saw, I conquered), Julius Caesar’s cocky phrase for one of his swift victories.

There was nothing swift for the Libyans, however, other than their fall from being one of Africa’s wealthiest societies with excellent health, education, housing and infrastructure to being a zone of endless civil war, criminality, desperate poverty and insecurity from 2011 to the present day.

And here we are, yet again, the amnesiac West celebrating another lightning quick victory — like the fall of Kabul, the fall of Tripoli and the fall of Baghdad. Mission Accomplished.

Like the fall of Kabul, the fall of Tripoli and the fall of Baghdad.
Like the fall of Kabul, the fall of Tripoli and the fall of Baghdad. Mission Accomplished. Image: www.solidarity.co.nz

Talking of Julius Caesar and cocky imperialism, the US named their highly-successful, crushing economic, energy and food sanctions against Syria “The Caesar Sanctions”.  Imposed and maintained since 2019, they helped hollow out the Syrian economy, making it easy meat for hyenas, such as the Israelis, to work on the carcass.

A couple of years ago I listened to Dana Stroul, the US Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for the Middle East talking to an audience at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington. Perhaps because she was in a friendly place Stroul was remarkably candid, boasting that the US “owned” a third of Syria — which they do to this day.

During the “civil war” America seized the wheat and oil fields in Northern Syria and are unlikely to give them back anytime soon. This, perhaps more than any single factor, is the root cause of the collapse of the Assad regime.

Most people in the West don’t even know that the US holds this chokehold on the country. It uses a Texas oil company to pump Syria’s oil out of the ground, sell it on the international market and use the proceeds to pay their Kurdish fighters.

By seizing the breadbasket of Syria and its oil, the US gained what Stroul described as “compelling leverage to shape an outcome that was more conducive to US interests”.

“But it wasn’t just about the one-third of Syrian territory that the US and our military owned,” Stroul said. The US was isolating the Assad regime, preventing embassies from returning to Damascus and blocking reconstruction.

The US used some of the looted oil money for civil projects in northern Syria but Stroul boasted: “The rest of Syria is rubble. What the Russians want and what Assad wants is economic reconstruction — and that is something that the United States can basically hold a card on via the international financial institutions and our cooperation with the Europeans.”

That’s called saying the quiet part out loud: the US and the EU prevented measures to improve the lives of millions of Syrians and ensured millions of refugees could not return home, all in order to weaken the regime and ensure popular discontent remained high. Nice.

There are more than 10 million Syrian refugees — most are hated “Others” in Europe and Turkey.  The war, with so much blood on Assad’s hands, was in part fuelled and funded by the US and the EU to weaken a geostrategic adversary.

It created the largest refugee and displacement crisis of our time, affecting millions of people and spilling into surrounding countries.  More than 15 million Syrians needed emergency assistance in 2023, more than 90 percent live below the poverty line and some 12 million suffer food insecurity, but the US has the chutzpah to view Syria as a geostrategic success story because it robbed the country of any chance at reconstruction over the last several years.

For the moment the Western media is promoting Abu Mohammad al-Jolani, the leader of Hayʼat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), whose forces took Damascus last weekend, as a kind of Woke Al Qaeda leader who has embraced Western values.  More cynical commentators like Pepe Escobar refer to him as “an Al-Qaeda head-chopper with a freshly-trimmed beard and a Zelensky suit”.

I have no opinion either way; time will tell.

I’m perplexed, however, that within hours of his Turkish-trained, Qatari-funded, Western armed troops crossing out of Idlib province, al-Jalani was on CNN; it smacked of a K Street/Washington PR exercise. Clearly al-Jolani is astute enough to know that being friends with America is a sensible survival strategy for the time being.

He may even have had his own Road to Damascus moment. Let’s hope.

Hayʼat Tahrir al-Sham is still designated a terror group by both the UN Security Council and the US, the latter posted a $10 million bounty on al-Jalani’s head some years ago.  But that didn’t stop the US keeping close contact with him via diplomats like James Jeffrey, Special Envoy to Syria from 2018-2020, who described HTS as a US “asset”.

From the Obama administration onwards, the US poured arms and dollars into al-Qaeda and other Islamist groups, via secret multi-billion dollar programmes like Operation Timber Sycamore. The jihadists were the most effective fighters undermining the Assad regime.  Back in 2012 Jake Sullivan wrote to his boss Hilary Clinton to famously clarify that “AQ [al-Qaeda] is on our side in Syria.” Thanks, again, Wikileaks.

President Biden, like Netanyahu, says that his country played a vital role in bringing down the Assad regime.  Fair enough: then apply the Pottery Barn Rule: If you break it, you own it — and you should fix it.

Several hundred billion dollars in reparations, and the return of the oil and wheat fields would be a start. In reality, I think peace will only come to the region once the Americans and Europeans are driven out.

Balkanisation -- the fragmenting of the country into hostile statelets
Balkanisation — the fragmenting of the country into hostile statelets —  is the great risk for Syria. Let’s hope for something better for the Syrian people. Map: Al Jazeera

I hope Hayʼat Tahrir al-Sham lives up to its promise to respect other ethnic and religious groups. I hope Israel withdraws. I hope for lots of good things for Syria but I’m not optimistic, despite being told daily by BBC, The Guardian, The New York Times and others that something wonderful has just happened.

Balkanisation — the fragmenting of the country into hostile statelets —  is the great risk for Syria. Let’s hope for something better for the Syrian people — that they are allowed to form a state that is united, sovereign and free.

Eugene Doyle is a writer based in Wellington. He has written extensively on the Middle East, as well as peace and security issues in the Asia Pacific region. He hosts the public policy platform solidarity.co.nz and contributes to Café Pacific.

‘Politics is finally possible’: After surprise fall of Syria’s Assad in protracted civil war, what’s next?

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Democracy Now!

AMY GOODMAN: We begin today’s show with Syria and the aftermath of the historic collapse of the Assad regime. Israeli forces are continuing to attack key military sites, airports and army air bases in cities across Syria, including the capital Damascus.

In just the last 48 hours, Israel has carried out 340 airstrikes, according to the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights. A resident from Qamishli in northeastern Syria described the strikes that took place Monday night.

ABDEL RAHMAN MOHAMED: [translated] The strikes happened at night. We went out after hearing the sounds, and we saw a fire there. Then we realized that Israel struck these locations. We didn’t get a break from Turkey, and now Israel came. Israel has been striking the area for a while now.

AMY GOODMAN: Turkey and the United States have also continued to strike targets in Syria since the lightning offensive led by Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS).

In a message posted to Telegram on Tuesday, the rebel commander Ahmed al-Sharaa vowed to hold senior officials in the Assad regime accountable for “torturing the Syrian people”.

As different factions of armed groups vie for power and their international backers defend their interests, Syrians are grappling with the enormity of what has happened to their country and what comes next.

In 13 years of war, more than 350,000 people have been killed, according to the United Nations, more than 14 million displaced.

President Bashar al-Assad has fled to Russia, where he has been granted political asylum with his family. Syrians are adjusting to the new reality of life after 50 years of rule by the Assad family, Hafez al-Assad and his son Bashar.

MAHMOUD HAYJAR: [translated] Today we don’t give our joy to anyone. We have been waiting for this day for 50 years. All the people were silenced and could not speak out because of this tyranny. Today we thank and ask God to reward everyone who contributed to this day, the day of liberation.

We were living in a big prison, a big prison that was Syria. It’s been 50 years during which we couldn’t speak, nor express ourselves, nor express our worries. Anyone who spoke out was detained in prisons, as you saw in Sednaya.

AMY GOODMAN: For more on the dramatic changes in Syria, we’re joined by Omar Dahi, Syrian American economics professor at Hampshire College, director of the Security in Context research network, where he focuses on political economy in Syria and the social and economic consequences of the war.

He was born and raised in Syria and involved in several peace-building initiatives since the conflict began. Professor Omar Dahi joins us now from Amherst, Massachusetts.

Professor, welcome to Democracy Now! First, your response to Assad’s departure, him fleeing with his family to Russia, and what this means for Syria?


In Syria, what’s next?         Video: Democracy Now!

OMAR DAHI: Hi, Amy. Thank you so much for having me.

Yeah, I’ve been watching, like many others from outside the country, in shock and disbelief in this past two weeks, and with mixed emotions in many ways. First, shock and disbelief at the collapse of the Syrian regime and the way it happened after 13 or more years of conflict, where there were frontlines that were frozen for the past several years, but suddenly they disappeared.

Of course, incredible joy at the personal level and also for millions of Syrians who were directly hurt by the regime, both through the violence of the war, the displacement, the killings and tortures that were taking place, as well as previously, before the war.

It’s been incredible watching the scenes of the liberation of prisoners from prisons like Sednaya, which have been referred to, I think correctly, as “human slaughterhouses.” It’s been incredibly moving to see people celebrating in the streets, people saying that they can finally go home, they can finally speak their mind.

So, all that has been really a joy to watch and witness as we kind of see the sequence of events unfold with the — you know, Bashar al-Assad fleeing to Russia.

Thankfully, this process, which we can talk more about, happened, finally, with as minimal bloodshed as possible, even though there was plenty of bloodshed over the past years. But in the way it had happened, it actually provided a possibility for positive change, at least at the moment.

But this joy is also tempered with lots of other feelings, as well, primarily the costs at which this happened. And I would say the costs are the human costs, that you outlined, which may be even more in terms of the people killed.

Entire generations have been destroyed. There is a generation of Syrians that grew up in displacement, in refugee camps, the destruction that happened to the country. All the human cost and the physical cost, I think, it’s hard to say that it was not too high. It’s impossible to say that it was OK that all this happened.

There are other costs, of course. The other cost is the loss of sovereignty of Syria, which has been a process ongoing for 10 years. Syria was occupied and invaded by the United States, by Turkey, on the opposition side. And on the Syrian government side, it drew on its allies to defend itself, Russia and Iran, which came to place the regime in a position of dependency.

So, there were multiple foreign types of occupations in the country, which we see what is happening now in the Israeli airstrikes as a continuation of that loss of sovereignty. And I think this is something that Syrians have to grapple with.

There are other costs of the war, as well. There are the empowerment of actors that are not acceptable to a wide variety of Syrian society. Not that there isn’t some backing for them, particularly because they have a certain legitimacy for many Syrians because they fought the government.

But the current government in power or the current, you know, HTS, is not acceptable to large parts of Syrian society, and there’s already warnings that it’s acting as a de facto power, and people are warning against that.

And, of course, there’s the final thing, which is that this is tempered by the regional context, which is the ongoing Israeli genocide in Palestine that is empowered by the US And we’ve seen over the past couple days a complete destruction of what was remaining of Syrian Army military assets by Israel, with complete impunity.

So, all of those, we’re trying to take all those contradictions together — joy for the people, joy for the moment that many millions had dreamed of, which is the departure of the Assad family from power, and the feeling that politics is finally possible in Syria.

Despite all these contradictions, there is a chance for political life to resume. There’s a chance for advocacy for a collectively better future. And this is something that we all have to try and hold and support.

JUAN GONZÁLEZ: Professor, I’m wondering if you could talk briefly about your own family’s history. In the 1990s, your father helped smuggle out names of political prisoners, many of them accused of belonging to the League of Communist Labor, yet the Ba’athist party and the government of your country often talked about being socialist.

OMAR DAHI: Yeah, this was a kind of a spur-of-the-moment post that I did on social media to share these documents that I received after my father passed away three or four years ago. And basically, my father was a lawyer and was among two or three or maybe four lawyers who stepped up in the 1990s to defend a large group of political prisoners, many of them communists, many of them who were accused of being members of the Muslim Brotherhood.

They were basically detained without a trial — or not even just a trial, but without a formal charge. They were accused of belonging to this outlawed party of Communist Labor, which was accused by the government of mounting an insurrection against it in the late 1970s and 1980s. So, most of those who were detained were detained in the 1980s. They had been “disappeared”.

Their families didn’t know anything about them. Most people didn’t know — like many of the people we’re discovering in Sednaya prison today, were not aware whether they were dead or alive or their whereabouts.

So, my father would basically meet with some of those prisoners, when allowed to do so. And really, it was the courage of the prisoners to assemble a lot of this data, to write down their names, their dates of birth, their professions, where they were — when they were arrested, what’s their charge, where they were being held — mostly, in this case, in Sednaya prison — and also if they were in — you know, they needed medical attention, they were traumatised or they were injured in some way.

And I asked my dad why he did this, actually, because, you know, there was no sense that these prisoners would be freed. So, most of them ended up being put on trial en masse and convicted. So, he told me that he had no expectation of justice at that time, but that he felt it was necessary to do it, to use any opening and any chance to expose the hypocrisy of the government, for the same reasons that you mentioned, that he didn’t expect them to actually be — you know, receive a fair trial, which they didn’t, but there has to be a chance to basically put the government’s declared principles against its actions and expose the government.

So, this was a historical document that I was kind of moved to share when the images of the prisoners who were being released from Sednaya. Most of those names in those documents have either, unfortunately, passed away or were released from the prison, so I didn’t expect that there would be some of those people actually there.

But, yeah, that’s why I shared that.

JUAN GONZÁLEZ: Yeah, I wanted to ask you also — you mentioned the foreign presence in Syria. Hasn’t the country, effectively, during this civil war been already partitioned, with Turkish troops creating a buffer zone in the north, the Israelis not only recently, in the past few days, entering Syrian territory, but conducting military operations in the territory previous to that, with the Kurds backed by the US, ISIS still controlling portions of territory, and the Russian bases in the country?

Do you have any sense of the integrity of the country being reconstituted anytime soon?

OMAR DAHI: I don’t think so. I think it’s going to be a long-term struggle, and partly because of the reasons you mention, because this is something that has been happening for a decade, and there are kind of entrenched interests that have developed, not just in terms of a foreign occupation, but in terms of the connection of various parts of Syrian society and their ties to those countries in ways that they’ve come to basically be affiliated or allied with them.

And this is reminiscent, for people who observe Syria, of the post-independence period in Syrian history, when Syria was a site of struggle by external powers because it was weak, it was politically divided, and various regional powers basically came to have significant influence in the country through Syrian political elites.

This was transformed by the Assad family and the Ba’ath Party in ways that actually flipped this around, where Syria consolidated its power and projected its power, at least regionally. But it came at a price, I think, that was high and unsustainable, particularly for Syrian society.

Now this is actually completely shattered. And I think there’s going to be an attempt to rewrite the history of the Syrian conflict in ways that pin the blame completely on the Assad regime, which I don’t think is the case. I think they are primarily at fault for this, not just because of their governance, which was brutal and tyrannical and maintained an exclusive monopoly on power for decades, without recognising any dissent, without recognising any political opposition; not just because of their reaction to the uprising when it first started, where they completely closed down any meaningful political transition; but also because even after they won the war, they spent many years refusing any political initiative to reconcile, after they had, with the help of Russia and Iran, won the war, basically.

So, the frontlines had been frozen for many years.

But all the other international actors also contributed to the destruction of the country. I think there were ways in which, you know, this fragmentation didn’t just imply an obvious loss of sovereignty in the abstract sense, but also destroyed the economy and fragmented the Syrian national economy.

It created kind of perverse war economies in the country. And as you said, Israel has been bombing Syria for the past decade. This bombing escalated after the collapse of the government. They further invaded Syrian territory, and we saw the incursions and the devastation that took place in the last couple days.

AMY GOODMAN: If you can talk about who Mohammed al-Bashir is, the man who’s been appointed the temporary prime minister right now of Syria, and also HTS, its role, listed as a terrorist movement by the US, the EU, the UK and Turkey — the UN special envoy for Syria told The Financial Times that international powers seeking a peaceful transition in the country would have to consider lifting this designation — who Abu Mohammad al-Julani now is — his birth name is Ahmed al-Sharaa?

OMAR DAHI: Yes. Well, I mean, I’m not an expert on Ahmed al-Sharaa’s personal history. Some of that has come out in recent days about his birth in Syria. He claims he was radicalised by the Palestinian intifada, and he joined al-Qaeda in Syria and Iraq.

And Hayat Tahrir al-Sham is basically a splinter group from al-Qaeda that had basically come — it was based in Iraq and then came back to Syria after the uprising started. And there was a period of time, which maybe your audience will remember, when Syria fragmented into various militias.

And there was just as much infighting among those militias, among themselves, between the opposition groups, just as much as they were fighting the Syrian government. So, basically, groups similar to Hayat Tahrir al-Sham were fighting each other. And then there was a period of reconsolidation, particularly in the aftermath of the attack on ISIS, and the kind of permanent or the, you know, more or less, consolidation of Syria into various spheres of influence, with a US presence and Kurdish-led political and military groups in the northeast, Turkish control in the northwest.

Under the areas that were generally under Turkish influence, there were areas that were directly tied to Turkey and areas in which Turkey had influence, and this is the area that came to be consolidated by Hayat Tahrir al-Sham. So, they have a bloody history not just prior to the war, but actually during the war, with respect to even other opposition groups, and kind of, basically, you know, during the time of the rule in the province of Idlib.

Right now and during these past two weeks, there’s been a lot of positive signs in terms of the way they approached the collapse of the Syrian regime, the signs that were verbal, the signs that were actually in actions in terms of trying to protect all government institutions, all public institutions, despite the fact that there have been incidents of looting and sabotage in various ways, but at least they’ve been trying to speak of a national interest in some ways.

That, of course, has to be put to the test. There’s already critiques of their rule, because they unilaterally imposed a transitional government on Syria, which most Syrians would reject as something that they don’t have the authority to do.

It’s also happening in a context where, of course, Syria is still under economic sanctions, so you’ve had devastation from many years of the war, and you’ve had also devastation of Syrian society because of the crippling economic sanctions, primarily imposed by the U.S. and the European Union. So —

AMY GOODMAN: We just have 30 seconds.

OMAR DAHI: So, all of that is really going to be, basically, coming into play over the coming days, basically, and months. And we’ll see how the regional context basically influences what’s happening domestically.

AMY GOODMAN: We want to thank you so much for being with us. Of course, we’re going to continue to follow what happens with Syria. Omar Dahi, Syrian American economics professor at Hampshire College and director of the Security in Context research network.

Coming up, we go to the West Bank to a new report by B’Tselem. As thousands of Syrians are being released from Syrian prisons, we’ll look at a new report on Palestinian prisoners in Hebron, in the occupied West Bank. It’s called “Unleashed: Abuse of Palestinians by Israeli Soldiers in the Center of Hebron.”

This article was first published by Democracy Now! on 10 December 2024 and is republished under a Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 3.0 United States Licence.

The ceasefire in Lebanon paused the war but not the struggle against genocide

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When Israel and Hezbollah agreed to a ceasefire in Lebanon, many Lebanese residents started returning home
When Israel and Hezbollah agreed to a ceasefire in Lebanon, many Lebanese residents started returning home to see what was left of their villages and homes - to find devastation. Image: AJ’s @alihashem_tv screenshot APR

As the world focuses on post-Assad Syria, this article reflects on Lebanon after the “ceasefire”. A country with a history of resistance and struggle, Lebanon has once again shown the world what it means to confront genocide with dignity and action. For months, it has lost people, homes, and entire villages, all for the principle of resistance against a genocidal project backed by the West.

COMMENTARY: By Rami Rmeileh

The ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah paused 416 days of relentless warfare in Lebanon. For thousands of displaced Lebanese and Palestinians, this marked the beginning of a return to homes and lands scarred by destruction.

For many, this journey also represented sumud (steadfastness) in the face of a killing machine. It meant the endurance is itself a victory.

However, the war has profoundly altered Lebanon. Since October 8, there has been relentless violence, mass displacement, and an economic crisis exacerbated by the conflict. And, while the physical destruction may have paused, a psychological war — one long mastered by Israel — continues.

This war extends far beyond bullets, embedding itself in propaganda, disinformation, and efforts to manipulate Lebanon’s social fabric.

Exploiting divisions
Israel’s psychological warfare has been relentless, leveraging figures like Avichay Adraee, the Arabic spokesperson for the Israeli army, and a network of Hasbara operatives who weaponise social media. Their aim: to sow division and undermine Hezbollah’s credibility.

In past conflicts, leaflets were dropped from the sky with warnings of evacuation.

During the latest war, social media became the primary battlefield. These platforms provided Israel with direct communication channels to Lebanese audiences, spreading disinformation and inciting hatred towards Hezbollah in particular.

Adraee’s online presence grew into a central tool of influence. Through direct messaging, incendiary posts, and the targeting of Lebanese media outlets, he has sought to stoke divisions by blaming Hezbollah for Lebanon’s economic collapse and the war, and to turn public opinion against the resistance.

By exploiting Lebanon’s lingering civil war divisions, Israel aims to ignite internal strife, reducing its need for direct military involvement amidst an already weary army.

These practices are nothing new for Israel, however. One only has to look back at Lebanon’s history to be reminded of this. From the PLO’s expulsion in 1982, to the internal strife following the 2006 war, factions have often been weaponised against each other.

It is within this context that Israel’s planned withdrawal over the next 60 days should be understood. It is not a concession, but a recalibration. It is buying time to address its internal challenges while amplifying its propaganda in Lebanon.

Foreign interests
As Lebanon begins to rebuild, Gulf states and other foreign actors will likely attempt to shape its future through aid, investments, and political manoeuvring, further deepening the country’s dependence and vulnerabilities. These will likely lay the groundwork for what Netanyahu refers to as the “New Middle East.”

We should be under no illusion that the ceasefire reflects a broader strategy of proxy conflict. For Washington, Israel is a regional enforcer, minimising direct military entanglement or presence in Lebanon.

Additionally, it serves Trump’s economic agenda, where stability is viewed as a prerequisite for profit.

For Israel, the ceasefire provides additional time and military resources to intensify its attacks in Gaza, aimed at forcing Hamas and Palestinians into submission, or securing a hostage deal — a strategy that, even more than a year into this genocide, has proven futile.

For Hezbollah, this ceasefire marks a period to recalibrate its political agenda and draw lessons from recent events, including the necessity of returning to clandestine presence, not just militarily, but also socially and economically.

Under the terms of the ceasefire, Hezbollah is expected to withdraw to the North of the Litani River and cease all visible military activity in the region.

However, its military presence in southern Lebanon has historically been subterranean, operating discreetly through an extensive underground network. This raises significant doubts about whether Israel, the US, or other brokers involved in the agreement can meaningfully enforce UN Resolution 1701 or curtail Hezbollah’s capacity to regroup and continue its resistance activities.

Hezbollah’s vulnerabilities
Despite the significant losses Israel has faced, the ongoing war has exposed vulnerabilities within Hezbollah, ranging from the infiltration of its ranks to the loss of key leaders and breaches in cyber and technological security. These challenges have sparked internal and external critiques, questioning their overall preparedness and strategic direction.

The attacks on senior commanders and leaders since last October — including the assassination of Hassan Nasrallah, and the pager blasts — have revealed that a full-scale offensive on Hezbollah was imminent and years in the making.

If not for Israel’s current multi-front battle, the reality could have been far graver for Hezbollah.

Nevertheless, speculating on alternative strategies or hypothetical outcomes serves little purpose without acknowledging the complexities of Hezbollah’s structure and context. The movement is neither monolithic nor homogenous, and it certainly isn’t immune to power struggles.

Its cadres, institutions, and members are subject to the same internal tensions, critiques, and demands that have shaped its trajectory — and perhaps even contributed to vulnerabilities that led to possible infiltrations.

These internal dynamics, combined with external pressures, underscore the challenges of Hezbollah balancing its political and militant roles.

Indeed, the ceasefire marks the beginning of a critical period for Hezbollah during which it will need to tighten security, and rebuild its ranks which will undoubtedly be a long process.

The absence of key leaders, particularly from its military and resistance wings, coupled with the continued prominence of its political arm, will significantly influence Hezbollah’s future trajectory. These developments could potentially even exacerbate existing tensions which could lead to internal fragmentation, or possibly even the emergence of a new party.

How Hezbollah reshapes itself in the aftermath of the ceasefire will not only determine its survival and direction, but it will also heavily impact the geopolitical landscape of the region for years to come.

What about progressives?
While leftist movements in Lebanon have historically supported Hezbollah’s resistance to Israel, they have also been critical of its religious leanings and political positions. But, following the weeks of bombardment, the current political and military landscape has created space for leftist groups to reclaim and reimagine their role beyond symbolic expressions of solidarity, namely on social media.

In recent years those on the left had confined their activism to public declarations of support for resistance in Gaza and Lebanon, convincing themselves that their actions were revolutionary acts — largely because of the repression of such views by the West.

However, this was not always the case. In cities like Beirut, the left played a significant role on the ground when it came to past struggles for liberation from imperialism and colonialism.

This tradition must now be reawakened.

Beirut remains a vital home for leftist movements, and is now more than ever in dire need of their presence, of people organising and taking action amidst the political and ideological vacuum that currently exists.

Vacancies in power — particularly in Lebanon’s fragile and polarised context — are perilous if left unaddressed. Leftist groups that are anti-imperialist, anti-colonialist, and committed to a secular and socialist state now have a rare opening to build a credible alternative. Acting while the political wound is still fresh may allow them to mobilise and influence the future trajectory of the country’s resistance and governance.

After all, the paths to liberation paved by revolutionaries like George Habash, Ghassan Kanafani, and many others in the 1970s are yet to be realised.

Remaining vigilant
Lebanon, a country with a history of resistance and struggle, has once again shown the world what it means to confront genocide with dignity and action. For months, it has lost people, homes, and entire villages, all for the principle of resistance against a genocidal project backed by the West.

Yet, the ceasefire offers only temporary relief. For Lebanon, the path forward demands vigilance against external manipulation, solidarity across internal divisions, and the resilience to rebuild amidst adversity.

Victory for resistance movements is not a singular moment of triumph but the ability to endure, adapt, and persist. For Lebanon and its resistance, this struggle is one round in a long fight against colonial violence and imperial domination.

Images of Lebanese returning to their homes fuel our imagination and belief that return is possible — for Gazans to their homes, and for Palestinians to their ancestral land.

Rami Rmeileh is a social psychologist and a doctoral researcher at the University of Exeter — Institute of Arab and Islamic studies. Follow him on X: @RamiRmeileh This article was first published by The New Arab.

Francesca Albanese, public intellectuals and the industry of pro-Palestine defamation

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Francesca Albanese’s refusal to placate those who seek to police the boundaries of acceptable discourse on Palestine
Francesca Albanese’s refusal to placate those who seek to police the boundaries of acceptable discourse on Palestine is precisely what makes her a target. Image: X/@maariaris/screenshot APR

COMMENTARY: By Layth Malhis

You, the reader, are the public intellectual. Unfortunately, this message carries immense weight: those who engage with Palestine bear a collective responsibility to confront and end the carnage, the bloodshed, and the ever-mounting rubble.

Yet, in doing so, you will find yourself in the crossfire of a relentless defamation machine — one that thrives, operates, and feeds off the energy of Palestinian blood.

During her tour across college campuses in the United States, United Kingdom, and Canada, Francesca Albanese, the UN Special Rapporteur on the Occupied Palestinian Territories, was the target of egregious criticism and mischaracterisations.

The Wall Street Journal is among the many media outlets that have taken part in this defaming effort. On October 30, its own editorial board brandished her as a “Hamas apologist” who has a “long record of trivialising the Holocaust”.

This concerted effort by the WSJ and other established media outlets in the US and UK to attack the Special Rapporteur was yet another reminder that to publically stand up for Palestine is to endure a process of vilification where character and integrity are defamed and systematically undermined — all to dismantle any semblance of credibility of the message and more importantly its orator.

In 1993, the Palestinian American literary critic Edward Said delivered a series of thought-provoking lectures for the BBC’s Reith Lecture series, exploring the role of the public intellectual through the lens of literature, his personal experiences, and his critical insights.

These lectures were later compiled into a book where Said defined the intellectual as an “individual with a specific public role in society that cannot be reduced simply to being a faceless professional… endowed with a faculty to representing, embodying, articulating a message, a view, an attitude, philosophy or opinion to, as well as for, a public.”

Said emphasises that the intellectual bears a profound responsibility: to “raise embarrassing questions, to confront orthodoxy and dogma (rather than to produce them), to be someone who cannot easily be co-opted by governments or corporations, and whose raison d’être is to represent all those people and issues that are routinely forgotten or swept under the rug.”

The intellectual as a dissenter and advocate
His framing of the intellectual as a dissenter and advocate for the marginalised challenges individuals to embody courage and integrity in the face of power and complacency.

This article explores the dual roles of public intellectuals: those forced into the role amidst genocide and those who choose to engage from the outside, both vital in resisting erasure.

Since October 7, 2023, two distinct types of public intellectuals have emerged:

The first type of public intellectual is the everyday individual in Gaza — the teachers, doctors, photographers, journalists, nurses, grocery clerks, and all who carry the will to document, report, and speak truth to power. Ordinary people thrust into extraordinary circumstances, where life itself has been reduced to a desperate game of survival.

Over the past year, Israel’s systematic decimation of Gaza’s medical, educational, and sanitation infrastructure has severed Palestinians from the most basic metrics of life.

Yet, those with the skill and capacity to provide care, knowledge, and dignity have been forced into a cruel and precarious existence. Their resilience has made them public intellectuals by necessity, embodying both survival and resistance in the face of erasure.

These intellectuals serve the people of Palestine not only by merely providing essential services to ensure survival but also by resisting the occupation’s disinformation war.

Breaking through the fog of Israeli propaganda
They have achieved this through the dissemination of pictures, videos, and oral testimonies from the victims of Israel’s genocidal campaign, breaking through the fog of propaganda to communicate the truth to the outside world.

Among those who have assumed this role are Bisan Owda, Dr Ghassan Abu Sitta, Refaat Alareer, Dr Husam Abu Safia, Anas al-Sharif, Wael Al-Dahdouh, and many others, some still alive, countless now martyred.

Public intellectuals in Gaza have been systematically targeted by the Israeli war machine. Just this week, we learned of the agonising and distressing circumstances surrounding the death of Dr Adnan Al Bursh.

Revered as a leader and a hero for his unyielding presence during crises in the besieged strip, Dr Al Bursh took it upon himself to document and disseminate footage of life inside Al-Shifa Hospital during the early weeks of the genocide. His courageous efforts to expose the deliberate destruction of Gaza’s medical sector by the Israeli army have been instrumental in bringing attention to the mounting war crimes.

Dr Al Bursh’s work flagged the systematic targeting of healthcare infrastructure, a grim pattern that has been substantiated by the World Health Organisation, which reports 516 Israeli attacks on Gaza’s healthcare sector.

His detainment and life-ending brutalisation were yet another harrowing reminder of Israel’s relentless campaign against those who dare to heal, resist, and speak out.

His life and death exemplify the extraordinary sacrifices made by Gaza’s public intellectuals in the face of Israel’s genocidal and urbicidal project, where the destruction of human life and urban fabric are employed as tools of erasure and domination.

Rebelling and agitating against normalisation
The second type of public intellectual — you, me, and those whose love and passion, borrowing from James Baldwin, holds the world intact — are the ones who possess absolute choice and freedom to address Palestine and its profound injustices.

This group exists on the outside, rebelling and agitating against the normalisation of Palestinian blood. It wakes to videos filled with carnage and despair, and it sleeps to the haunting pleas of those trapped in the besieged land.

The primary condition of the public intellectual during genocide is to transform into a state of agitation, to ensure that fatigue does not set in and that the endless cycle of destruction and outrage does not dull the sharpness of the convictions held by those who stand in solidarity with Palestinians.

Their task is monumental: to end the suffering, to give those screaming for help a moment to breathe, to grieve, and to mourn what little remains amidst the rubble.

I remind those who hold Palestine close to their hearts — the ones who see, who know, who have the faces and screams of Sidra Hassouna, Hind Rajab, and countless other children, mothers, and fathers etched into their memory — that you must shoulder the burden of responsibility required to end this once and for all. You must tear apart the veil of normalisation, where moral apathy supersedes humanity.

The role of the public intellectual on the outside is to persistently challenge the system working in overdrive to normalise the mass death and territorial expropriation unfolding in real-time on our social media feeds.

This role is not without risks; it inevitably marks the orator, the fighter for justice, as an enemy of the established order and its orthodoxy. It will take a piece of their heart and box it into a state of discomfort, where the feeling of contempt is replaced by melancholy.

The risks of speaking truth about Palestine
In an illuminating episode of the Makdisi Street Podcast featuring Saree, Osama, and Karim Makdisi — each embodying the role of the public intellectual on Palestine — the acclaimed writer and activist Ta-Nehisi Coates reflected on the risks of speaking truth about Palestine.

He argued that when your work authentically captures the reality of Palestinian suffering and successfully communicates this pain to the world, it provokes a backlash.

Racism and efforts to silence you will emerge, calibrated to inflict just enough harm to deter you from continuing on your path. Yet, Coates emphasised, the path of amplifying the Palestinian struggle for freedom must be walked, regardless of the obstacles.

When addressing Palestine, the public intellectual must embody an unyielding commitment to dismantling the narratives and mechanisms designed to erase and dehumanise the oppressed.

A striking example of this is Francesca Albanese’s masterful intervention during a press briefing on Parliament Hill in Ottawa on November 5, where she effectively dismantled the concept of a state’s “right to exist.”

Recognising the bad faith in which the question was posed, Albanese redirected the discussion to the framework of international law, emphasising its role in safeguarding the rights of people, not states.

She underscored the absurdity of such narratives by drawing a parallel to her native Italy, illustrating how inconceivable such a question would be if applied to any other country.

Unwavering clarity is essential
This unwavering clarity is essential; any quivering or half-measure approach risks greater harm to Palestinians, as it inadvertently feeds into the machinery of normalisation.

To falter in conviction is to risk legitimising propaganda that perpetuates oppression, enabling the powerful to cloak their violence in a veneer of legitimacy. For the public intellectual, there is no room for compromise in confronting these narratives — their mission is to illuminate truth and uphold justice without equivocation.

One of the primary reasons Zionist interest groups have gone into overdrive to skew and tarnish Francesca Albanese’s reputation is her unapologetic stance, not only in support of the Palestinians but in defence of their right to resist oppression.

It is evident when one hears her speak that she does not hold back; she refuses to dilute her convictions or entertain any ambiguity about her stance. Her words leave no room for speculation or the comfort of moderation, forcing her audience, and her opponents, to confront the harsh realities of colonial violence and occupation on her terms, terms based exclusively on truth and humanist principles.

Albanese’s refusal to placate those who seek to police the boundaries of acceptable discourse on Palestine is precisely what makes her a target.

She exemplifies the essence of the public intellectual: a voice of resistance that remains unsilenced and unyielding, boldly challenging the orthodoxy of power and its enablers. Albanese, alongside others across various sectors and disciplines, provides a vital blueprint for embodying the role of the public intellectual in the context of Palestine.

While their methods and areas of influence may differ, they share an unabashed, unapologetic commitment to confronting the enablers of genocide with relentless determination. They recognise that what is at stake — the lives and futures of Palestinians in Gaza and the normalisation of systemic violence — demands untiring commitment, and it is precisely because of the significant personal cost involved that they persist in their fight.

No system that relies on defamation and character assassination as a form of policing speech that seeks to humanise the incarcerated and mutilated should continue.

Their sole adversary is that violent system
For the public intellectual, their sole adversary is that system, a system that is weaker today than it was yesterday, as the collective pursuit for truth is making serious ground to eroding its foundations.

Be that public intellectual who speaks and writes on Palestine with courage and conviction, unafraid to be unabashedly proud in their stance.

Approach Palestine not as an abstract cause but as part of your kin, allowing your sense of justice and humanity to guide your voice.

In a world desensitised to the pain and suffering it perpetuates, Palestine offers a rare, transformative opportunity — a “once in a generation” moment to mobilise and redefine the structures of power and ideals that shape our global reality.

Layth Malhis is at the Center of Contemporary Arab Studies at Georgetown University. He writes on settler colonialism and necropolitics in Palestine and the broader Arab world.This article was first published by The New Arab.

US officials talked about merits of removing $10m bounty on Syrian rebel leader

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Flashback:
Flashback: "Wanted" flyer for Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) leader Abu Mohammad al-Jolani . . . designated as a terrorist by the US since 2013 with the Trump administration in 2018 imposing a $10 million bounty on his head. Image: X/USEmbassySyria 2017

By Sean Mathews

American officials have discussed the merits of removing a $10m bounty on Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) leader Abu Mohammad al-Jolani, whose rebel group swept into Damascus and toppled the government of Bashar al-Assad on Sunday, a senior Arab official briefed by the Americans told Middle East Eye.

Ahmed al-Sharaa, commonly known as Jolani, has been designated as a terrorist by the United States since 2013, while his organisation, HTS, was proscribed by the Trump administration in 2018 when a $10 million bounty was placed on his head.

For years, HTS lobbied to be delisted, but its pleas largely fell on deaf years with the group relegated to governing just a sliver of northwest Syria.

Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) leader Abu Mohammad al-Jolani
Flashback: “Wanted” flyer for Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) leader Abu Mohammad al-Jolani . . . designated as a terrorist by the US since 2013 with the Trump administration in 2018 imposing a $10 million bounty on his head. Image: X/USEmbassySyria 2017

But the lightning blitz by the rebels, which saw Assad’s iron-grip rule end in spectacular fashion on Sunday, has since forced Washington to rethink how it engages with the former al-Qaeda affiliate.

The senior Arab official, who requested anonymity due to sensitivities surrounding the talks, told MEE that the discussions had divided officials in the Biden administration.

Meanwhile, when asked about the discussions, one Trump transition official disparaged the Biden administration.

Jolani, 42, gave a rousing victory speech in Damascus’ iconic Umayyad Mosque on Sunday and is widely expected to play a key role in Syria’s transition after 54 years of Assad family rule.

“Today, Syria is being purified,” Jolani told a crowd of supporters in Damascus, adding that “this victory is born from the people who have languished in prison, and the mujahideen (fighters) broke their chains”.

He said that under Assad, Syria had become a place for “Iranian ambitions, where sectarianism was rife,” in reference to Assad’s allies Iran and its Lebanese proxy Hezbollah.

‘Saying the right things now’
Speaking several hours after the fall of Damascus, US President Joe Biden called the rebel takeover a “fundamental act of justice,” but cautioned it was “a moment of risk and uncertainty” for the Middle East.

“We will remain vigilant,” Biden said. “Make no mistake, some of the rebel groups that took down Assad have their own grim record of terrorism and human rights abuses,” adding that the groups are “saying the right things now.”

“But as they take on greater responsibility, we will assess not just their words, but their actions,” Biden said.

Later, a senior Biden administration official, when asked about contact with HTS leaders, said Washington was in contact with Syrian groups of all kinds.

The official, who was not authorised to publicly discuss the situation and spoke on condition of anonymity, also said the US was focused on ensuring chemical weapons in Assad’s military arsenal were secured.

Meanwhile, The New York Times reported that US intelligence agencies were in the process of evaluating Jolani, who it said had launched a “charm offensive” aimed at allaying concerns over his past affiliations.

Jolani was born to a family originally from the occupied Golan Heights and fought in the Iraq insurgency and served five years in an American-run prison in Iraq, before returning to Syria as the emissary of Islamic State founder Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi.

‘Charm offensive can be misleading’
“A charm offensive might mean that people are turning over a new leaf and they think differently than they used to so you should hear them out. On the other hand, you should be cautious because charm offensives can sometimes be misleading,” the US official said.

“We have to think about it. We have to watch their behaviour and we need to do some indirect messaging and see what comes of that,” the official added.

But, US President-elect Donald Trump, who will be entering office in just five weeks, has left few doubts where he stood on the conflict, saying Washington “should have nothing to do with it [Syria].”

In a social media post on Saturday, Trump wrote that Assad “lost” because “Russia and Iran are in a weakened state right now, one because of Ukraine and a bad economy, the other because of Israel and its fighting success”.

Trump used Assad’s fall as an opportunity to call for an end to the war in Ukraine, without mentioning the Syrian opposition or the Syrian allies of the US.

Jordan lobbies for Syrian Free Army
Assad’s ousting has seen Nato-ally Turkey cement its status as the main outside power in Syria at the expense of a bruised and battered Iran and Russia.

But the US holds vast amounts of territory in Syria via its allies, who joined a race to replace the Assad regime as its soldiers abandoned villages and cities en masse.

The US backs rebels operating out of the al-Tanf desert outpost on the tri-border area of Jordan, Iraq and Syria.

The Syrian Free Army (SFA) went on the offensive as Assad’s regime collapsed taking control of the city of Palmyra.

The SFA works closely with the US and its financing is mainly run out of Jordan. The SFA also enjoys close ties to Jordanian intelligence.

A former Arab security official told MEE that Jordan’s King Abdullah II met with senior US officials in Washington DC last week and lobbied for continued support for the Syrian Free Army.

However, maintaining stability in post-Assad Syria will be key for Jordan as it looks to send back hundreds of thousands of refugees and ensure a power vacuum does not lead to more captagon crossing its border, the former official said.

900 US troops embedded with Kurds
In northeastern Syria, the US has roughly 900 troops embedded with the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF).

Arab tribes linked to the SDF swept across the Euphrates River on Friday to take a wide swath of strategic towns, including Deir Ezzor and al-Bukamal. The latter is Syria’s strategic border crossing with Iraq.

The US support for the SDF is a sore point in its ties to Turkey, which views the SDF as an extension of the outlawed Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK).

The PKK has waged a decades-long guerrilla war in southern Turkey and is labelled a terrorist organisation by the US and the European Union.

Turkey’s concerns about the PKK led it to launch an invasion of Syria in 2016, with the aim of depriving Kurdish fighters of a quasi-state along its border. Two more military forays followed in 2018 and 2019.

The SDF is already being squeezed in the north with Turkish-backed rebels called the Syrian National Army entering the strategic city of Manbij.

During Syria’s more than decade long war, the US slapped sanctions on Assad’s government, enabled Israel to launch strikes on Iran inside Syria, and backed opposition groups that hold sway over around one-third of the country.

Sean Mathews is a journalist for Middle East Eye writing about business, security and politics. His coverage spans from across the Middle East, North Africa and the Balkans.  Republished from Middle East Eye under Creative Commons.

Caitlin Johnstone: Assad is out, woke Al-Qaeda is in

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CNN just released a coddling softball interview with Abu Mohammed al-Jolani
CNN just released a coddling softball interview with Abu Mohammed al-Jolani, the former ISIS and al-Qaeda member who leads the Syrian opposition group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, which is itself a rebranded offshoot of al-Qaeda in Syria. Image: caitlinjohnstone.com.au

COMMENTARY: By Caitlin Johnstone

Well, the government of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad is out, likely to be replaced by one or more US puppet regimes depending on whether the nation maintains its current borders or is carved up into separate states. The empire notches another win.

I am not a military analyst, but analysts who are normally supportive and optimistic in favour of Assad like Elijah Magnier and Pepe Escobar are saying this is the end.

Assad’s whereabouts are unknown as Turkish-backed fighters and al-Qaeda-linked forces with a history of Western backing have swept through the country with alarming speed, and now Russia and Iran have joined with the governments of US-aligned nations like Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Jordan and Turkey in calling for an end to the fighting in favour of a political solution.

CNN reports that opposition forces have captured Damascus , Assad has reportedly fled the country with his whereabouts unknown, and footage reportedly shows Assad forces retreating from the area where the president’s main residence is located.

The US proxy warfare in Lebanon and Ukraine makes a lot more strategic sense now; by tying up Hezbollah and Russia in other conflicts, the path was opened up for another run on Damascus and a chance to further cut off Hezbollah from supplies.

Many pundits on my end of the commentary spectrum had been calling those proxy wars self-defeating and framing them as the desperate flailings of a dying empire which will only accelerate its demise, but now here we are watching the empire score a victory it’s been chasing for years, with the Western/Israeli stranglehold on the Middle East growing tighter than ever.

An al-Qaeda is woke now narrative
Meanwhile, the press is falling all over itself to support this regime change by promoting the narrative that al-Qaeda is woke now.

CNN just released a coddling softball interview with Abu Mohammed al-Jolani, the former ISIS and al-Qaeda member who leads the Syrian opposition group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, which is itself a rebranded offshoot of al-Qaeda in Syria.

Jolani told CNN that he has reformed from his radical ways of the past, saying, “Sometimes it’s essential to adjust to reality,” adding, “someone who rigidly clings to certain ideas and principles without flexibility cannot effectively lead societies or navigate complex conflicts like the one happening in Syria.”

Now the imperial press are full of headlines like “How Syria’s rebel leader went from radical jihadist to a blazer-wearing ‘revolutionary’” from CNN, “Syria’s rebel leader Golani: From radical jihadist to ostensible pragmatist” from The Times of Israel, and “How Syria’s ‘diversity-friendly’ jihadists plan on building a state” from The Telegraph.

Only a matter of time before we start seeing former ISIS and al-Qaeda members chatting it up on liberal Western talk shows with their preferred gender pronouns listed next to their names.

As luck would have it, these “diversity-friendly jihadists” have been telling the Israeli press that they “love Israel” and won’t do anything to harm its interests, so it’s safe to say that this “revolution” has been about as organically grown as a sheet of crystal meth.

One of the many perks of being the world’s dominant superpower is that it gives you the luxury of time. If one regime change operation fails, don’t worry, you can just move some chess pieces around and take another shot at it.

If a coup attempt fails in Latin America, relax, there will be other coup attempts. If your efforts to grab Syria fail, you can just smash it with sanctions and occupy its oil fields to impoverish it while overextending its military allies in proxy conflicts elsewhere and grab it later.

A good kickboxer throws many combinations with the understanding that most strikes will miss or be blocked or cause minimal damage, trusting that eventually the one knockout blow will get through.

No empire lasts forever, but there’s no evidence that this one is going away any time in the immediate future. This ugliness could conceivably drag itself out for generations.

Caitlin Johnstone is an Australian independent journalist and poet. Her articles include The UN Torture Report On Assange Is An Indictment Of Our Entire Society. She publishes a website and Caitlin’s Newsletter. This article is republished with permission.

PNG’s Parkop tells exiled Papuans ‘don’t lose hope – keep up the freedom struggle’

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West Papuans in Port Moresby proudly display their Morning Star flag of independence
West Papuans in Port Moresby proudly display their Morning Star flag of independence — banned by Indonesia. Image: Inside PNG

Asia Pacific Report

Governor Powes Parkop of Papua New Guinea’s capital Port Moresby has appealed to West Papuans living in his country to carry on the self-determination struggle for future generations and to not lose hope.

Parkop, a staunch supporter of the West Papua cause, reminded Papuans at their Independence Day last Sunday of the struggles of their ancestors, reports Inside PNG.

“PNG will celebrate 50 years of Independence next year but this is only so for half of the island — the other half is still missing, we are losing our land, we are losing our resources.

NCD Governor Powes Parkop
NCD Governor Powes Parkop . . . message of hope and cultural pride on West Papua’s Independence Day in Port Moresby. Image: Inside PNG

“If we are not careful, we are going to lose our future too.”

The National Capital District governor was guest speaker for the celebration among Port Moresby residents of West Papuan descent with the theme “Celebrating and preserving our culture through food and the arts”.

About 12,000 West Papuan refugees and exiles live in PNG and Parkop has West Papuan ancestry through his grandparents.

The Independence Day celebration began with everyone participating in the national anthem — “Hai Tanaku Papua” (“My Land, Papua”).

Song and dance
Other activities included song and dance, and a dialogue with the young and older generations to share ideas on a way forward.

Some stalls were also set up selling West Papuan cuisine, arts and crafts.

West Papuan children dancers.
West Papuan children ready to dance with the Morning Star flag of West Papuan independence – banned in Indonesia. Image: Inside PNG

Governor Parkop said: “We must be proud of our identity, our culture, our land, our heritage and most importantly we have to challenge ourselves, redefine our journey and our future.

“That’s the most important responsibility we have.”’

West Papua was a Dutch colony in the 9th century and by the 1950s the Netherlands began to prepare for withdrawal.

On 1 December 1961, West Papuans held a congress to discuss independence.

The national flag, the Morning Star, was raised for the first time on that day.

Encouraged to keep culture
Governor Parkop described the West Papua cause as “a tragedy”.

This is due to the fact that following the declaration of Independence in 1961, Indonesia laid claim over the island a year later in 1962.

This led to the United Nations-sponsored treaty known as the New York Agreement.

Indonesia was appointed temporary administrator without consultation or the consent of West Papuans.

In 1969 the so-called Act of Free Choice enabled West Papuans to decide their destiny but again only 1026 West Papuans had to make that choice under the barrel of the gun.

To this day, Melanesian West Papua remains under Indonesian rule.

Governor Parkop encouraged the West Papuan people to preserve their culture and heritage and to breakaway from the colonial mindset, colonial laws and ideas that hindered progress to freedom for West Papua.

Republished with permission from Inside PNG.

West Papuans in Port Moresby proudly display their Morning Star flag of independence — banned by Indonesia. Image: Inside PNG

Amnesty International doubles down on Israeli Gaza ‘genocide, atrocities’ report at NZ rally

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By David Robie

Amnesty International officials at a rally in Auckland today doubled down on their global report this week accusing Israel of genocide and called on Aotearoa New Zealand to take more action over the atrocities in the besieged enclave of Gaza.

The global human rights movement’s 296-page fully documented report says Israel has “unleashed hell and destruction on Palestinians in Gaza brazenly, continuously and with total impunity”.

The allegations have enraged the Tel Aviv government and stirred the unaffiliated Israeli chapter of Amnesty International to distance itself from the “genocide” allegation while admitting “serious crimes are being committed in Gaza, that must be investigated”.

Speaking at the weekly rally in Te Komititanga Square in the heart of Auckland today, Amnesty International Aotearoa’s people power manager Margaret Taylor said the report was “irrefutable”.

“Israel has committed and is — this very minute — committing genocide against Palestinians in the occupied Gaza Strip,” she said and was supported with loud shouts of “shame, shame!”

Al Jazeera reports that 50 people were killed in the latest Israeli attacks on central Gaza’s Nuseirat refugee camp — in which the death toll included six children and five women — and the Indonesian Hospital in northern Gaza’s Beit Lahiya district.

The report examines in detail Israel’s violations in Gaza over nine months between 7 October 2023 and early July 2024.


Israel’s genocide against Palestinians.    Video: Amnesty International

‘Firsthand accounts, satellite photography’
“Amnesty International interviewed hundreds of people with firsthand accounts. We analysed photos and video footage of the devastation, the remains of weaponry, corroborated with satellite photography, and we reviewed a huge range of data sets, repirts and statements by UN agencies, humanitarian organisations, human rights groups, and senior Israeli government officials and military leaders,” said Taylor.

“As I said before, this is irrefutable.

“This is genocide. And it must stop now,” she said.

The Amnesty International delegation at today's justice and ceasefire rally for Palestine
The Amnesty International delegation at today’s justice and ceasefire rally for Palestine in downtown Auckland. Image: David Robie/Asia Pacific Report

“With this evidence we are demanding that all those accused of genocide be brought to justice. Decades of impunity must stop.

“We have to use all the tools at our disposal – the International Criminal Court, the International Court of Justice, extraterritorial jurisdiction – to ensure that those accused of genocide, crimes against humanity and war crimes are brought to justice.

“We must ensure that perpetrators have nowhere to run and nowhere to hide.”

The Amnesty International report said that the “atrocity crimes” against Israelis by Hamas on 7 October 2023, which triggered the current war — although brutal repression against the Palestinians has been extensively reported since the Nakba in 1948 — “do not justify genocide”.

The publication of the report has been welcomed around the world by many humanitarian and human rights groups but condemned by Israel and criticised by its main backer, the United States.

In a statement, the Israeli Foreign Minister claimed: “The deplorable and fanatical organisation Amnesty International has produced a fabricated report that is entirely false and based on lies.”

A "thousands of children are dying" placard
A “thousands of children are dying” placard at today’s Palestine rally in Auckland. Image: David Robie/Asia Pacific Report

Last month, the international Criminal Court (ICC) issued arrest warrants for Israel Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and former Foreign Minister Yoav Gallant for alleged war crimes and crimes against humanity.

Margaret Taylor said: “The wheels of international justice have finally caught up with those who are alleged to be responsible for war crimes and crimes against humanity. This is an historic breakthrough for justice . . .

“That’s a start. Prime Minister Netanyahu is now officially a wanted man.”

The International Court of Justice (ICJ) is also investigating Israel over “plausible genocide” in a case brought by South Africa and supported by at least 18 other countries.


Israel’s actions had brought Gaza’s population to the “brink of collapse”, said the Amnesty International report.

“Its brutal military offensive had killed more than 42,000 Palestinians [now more than 44,000], including over 13,300 children, and injured over 97,000 more, by 7 October 2024, many of them in direct or deliberately indiscriminate attacks, often wiping out entire multigenerational families.

“It has caused unprecedented destruction, which experts say occurred at a level and speed not seen in any other conflict in the 21st century, levelling entire cities and destroying critical infrastructure, agricultural land and cultural and religious sites.

“It thereby rendered large swathes of Gaza uninhabitable.”

A "flag-masked" child at today's Palestine rally in Auckland
A “flag-masked” child at today’s Palestine rally in Auckland. Image: David Robie/Asia Pacific Report

NZ needs to take action
Taylor told the rally that New Zealand needed to take more action over the genocide, such as:

  • Publicly recognise that Israeli authorities are committing the crime of genocide and commit to strong and sustained international action;
  • Ban imports from illegal settlements as well as investment in companies connected to maintaining the occupation; and
  • Do everything possible to facilitate Palestinian people seeking refuge to come to Aotearoa New Zealand and receive support.

In RNZ’s Checkpoint programme on Thursday, Amnesty International Aotearoa’s advocacy and movement building director Lisa Woods said the organisation had worked to establish the intent behind Israel’s acts in Gaza, adding that they meet the definition of genocide.

The series of air strikes analysed in the report had hit civilian homes in densely populated urban areas.

“No evidence was found that any of these strikes were directed at a military objective,” she said.

“The report found that the way these attacks were conducted is that they were conducted in ways that were designed to cause a very high number of fatalities and injuries among the civilian population.”

Today’s Palestine rally also devoted part of its activities to preparing a series of on-the-spot submissions to the Treaty Principles Bill amid many “Kill the bill” tee-shirts, banners and placards.

Dr David Robie is editor of Asia Pacific Report and Café Pacific. This report was first published at Asia Pacific Report.

A "Kill the Bill" tee-shirt
A “Kill the Bill” tee-shirt referring to the controversial Treaty Principles Bill widely regarded as a fundamental attack on Aotearoa New Zealand’s foundational 1840 Treaty of Waitangi at today’s Palestine rally in Auckland. Image: David Robie/Asia Pacific Report

Eugene Doyle: The demon in the mirror. Trump exposes who we are

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"They died in line waiting for food . . . Three women were stampeded and suffocated in a giant desperate crowd that was begging for bread in Deir Al Balah. No more words." . . . The caption on this photograph by Palestinian journalist Nahed Hajjaj in response to the Isareli genocide in Gaza. Image: X/nahed_hajjaj99

COMMENTARY: By Eugene Doyle

They “will be hit harder than anybody has been hit in the long and storied History of the United States of America”.

Donald J Trump about the people of Gaza and their defenders.

“Western justifications for their barbarism is well-established — after all, genocide is a Western liberal value.”

— Professor Joseph Massad

New Zealand, Australia and the rest “are aiding a regime that is starving people, they are aiding a regime that is preventing children from having anaesthetics in an operating theatre.”

— Professor Mohammad Marandi

What is the response from our leaders to this genocidal menace to Palestine by Trump? What does it mean for us as people of the West?

What would it say about us if he made good on the threat and we did nothing? Below are some harsh assessments from the frontlines about us that we should pay careful attention to.

First, weigh Trump’s words in your mind. Israeli leaders were thrilled when Trump pledged that there would be “hell to pay” unless the 100 hostages held in the Gaza Strip were released ahead of his January 20 inauguration. There was no mention of the thousands of Palestinian political prisoners and hostages, including children, held in captivity by Israel.

Writing on Truth Social, Trump said the Israeli hostages had to be freed by the time he was sworn in or “Those responsible will be hit harder than anybody has been hit in the long and storied History of the United States of America.”

Harder than the US genocide of native Americans? Harder than the unspeakable horrors of American slavery? Hit harder than the victims of the atomic bombing of Nagasaki and Hiroshima? Harder than the three million civilians killed by the US terror bombing of North Korea?

Harder than the years of napalm, B52 bombers, mass rapes and other large-scale US war crimes that stole millions of lives in Vietnam, Cambodia and Laos? Harder than the US death squads in Central America, Afghanistan and Iraq? Yes, it is a long and storied history.

When governments fail to clear the lowest bars of moral conduct
When governments fail to clear the lowest bars of moral conduct, history demands that populations take action – that citizens don’t look away but step up and do everything it takes to force fundamental change, respect for human rights and international law. Image: X/@WearThePeaceCo

Something worse than genocide?
And now Republican Trump threatens something worse than the genocide that Democrat America and Israel are already inflicting on the Palestinian people. Who else will be targeted is unclear.

When Trump tweeted those threats, not a single political leader in a Western country uttered a syllable of censure.

Ali Abunimah of electronic intifada asked a very pertinent question when interviewing Columbia University professor Joseph Massad this week, “Were you surprised by the scale of the atrocities Israel was willing to commit or by the seemingly limitless Western support?”

“I was surprised by the scale of the genocide but not by the Western support it has received,” Massad replied.

Then Ali Abunimah said something really interesting: “If I think about my own reaction, I was not surprised by what Israel was capable of but I must have naively thought there was a limit to what the West would tolerate. It turns out there is no limit to what they will tolerate.”

The words should strike our eardrums like thunder claps. They are, I believe,
both shocking and undeniable. Trump will simply force us to face the demon in the mirror.

Professor Massad: “Western justifications for their barbarism is well-established — after all, genocide is a Western liberal value. I believe Israel is sincere when it says it abides by Western liberal values: one of which is genocide, one of which is settler colonialism, one of which is racism and contempt for its racial inferiors.”

Arrest warrants ‘a huge moment’
Another voice of judgment on the conduct of our Western governments, our Western culture, is professor Mohammad Seyed Marandi of Tehran University: Marandi says the issuing of arrest warrants for Netanyahu and Gallant was a huge moment, especially
for anyone who took the time to read them.

According to the International Criminal Court they bear criminal responsibility for “the war crime of starvation as a method of warfare; and the crimes against humanity of murder, persecution, and other inhumane acts”.

“This is the sort of barbarism that Canada and New Zealand are supporting,” Marandi says. “They are aiding a regime that is starving people, they are aiding a regime that is preventing children from having anaesthetics in an operating theatre. That is the reality of New Zealand. That is the reality of Australia. That is the reality of Canada, Norway and Sweden.

“It’s why ‘Western values’, ‘Western civilisation’ all become meaningless in the eyes of the international community.”

Many Western governments supply weapons and bombs to support the genocide.

Others like New Zealand and Australia send troops to attack Yemen to relieve the Houthi blockade of Israel, share intelligence, including targeting data, welcome Israeli diplomats but refuse to recognize Palestine, provide political cover at the UN and elsewhere,
refuse to boycott, divest or inflict sanctions on Israel, train with their army and deny the truth of what is happening.

On November 22, New Zealand designated Hezbollah as a “terrorist entity”; this after the terror bombing of Lebanon by Israel that has killed over 3000 civilians, maimed tens of thousands and destroyed the homes of hundreds of thousands. Prime Minister Christopher Luxon is confused as to who should be labelled terrorists.

The repudiation of the ICC warrants for Netanyahu and Yoav Gallant by Germany, France, the US and other Western governments was really just putting yet another bullet into the rotten carcass of Western credibility; the rest of the world knows international law was designed to go after Muslims, Africans and Slavs, not the white rulers of the West.

Immoral and disproportionate
The Pope said last month’s Israeli attacks on Gaza and Lebanon have been immoral
and disproportionate and that its military has gone beyond the rules of war.

Amnesty International has just released a 300-page report stating that its research has found sufficient basis to conclude that Israel has committed and is continuing to commit genocide against Palestinians in the occupied Gaza Strip.

The UN’s report “Genocide as colonial erasure” documents the vastness of the inhumanity being meted out to the Palestinian people by our friends and allies.

When governments fail to clear the lowest bars of moral conduct, history demands that populations take action – that citizens don’t look away but step up and do everything it takes to force fundamental change, respect for human rights and international law. This is a time for activism not indifference or “tuning out”.

Professor Marandi lays down the gauntlet to citizens of the West, saying what in our hearts we know about our own governments:

“They will allow the extermination of the people of Gaza. And then if the Israelis go after the West Bank, they will allow for that to happen as well. Under no circumstances do I see the West blocking extermination,” Marandi says.

How will you personally respond?

I will give the last word to Aaron Bushnell, the young US serviceman who
self-immolated in front of the Israeli Embassy in Washington in February to protest at the US and Israel’s genocidal actions in Gaza. His last words on this Earth, as the fire consumed him, were: “Free Palestine!”

Earlier that day, Aaron posted this on X as he set up the livestream:

“Many of us like to ask ourselves, ‘What would I do if I was alive during slavery? Or the Jim Crow South? Or Apartheid? What would I do if my country was committing genocide?’ The answer is, you’re doing it. Right now.”

Eugene Doyle is a writer based in Wellington. He has written extensively on the Middle East, as well as peace and security issues in the Asia Pacific region. He hosts the public policy platform solidarity.co.nz

How Jeton Anjain planned the Rongelap evacuation – new Rainbow Warrior podcast series

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The ABC/RNZ podcast takes the listener into a room in Seattle, Washington, in 1984, where Greenpeace International leader Steve Sawyer (right) met Jeton Anjain
The ABC/RNZ podcast takes the listener into a room in Seattle, Washington, in 1984, where Greenpeace International leader Steve Sawyer (right) met for the first time with Jeton Anjain and heard his plea for help to relocate Rongelap people using the Rainbow Warrior. Image: © 1985 David Robie/Eyes Of Fire

REVIEW: By Giff Johnson in Majuro

As a prelude to the 40th anniversary of the evacuation of Rongelap Islanders to Mejatto Island in Kwajalein in 1985, Radio New Zealand and ABC Radio Australia have produced a six-part podcast series that details the Rongelap story — in the context of The Last Voyage of the Rainbow Warrior, the name of the series.

It is narrated by journalist James Nokise, and includes story telling from Rongelap Islanders as well as those who know about what became the last voyage of Greenpeace’s flagship.

It features a good deal of narrative around the late Rongelap Nitijela Member Jeton Anjain, the architect of the evacuation in 1985. For those who know the story of the 1954 Bravo hydrogen bomb test at Bikini, some of the narrative will be repetitive.

The Last Voyage of the Rainbow Warrior podcast series logo
The Last Voyage of the Rainbow Warrior podcast series logo. Image: ABC/RNZ

But the podcast offers some insight that may well be unknown to many. For example, the podcast lays to rest the unfounded US government criticism at the time that Greenpeace engineered the evacuation, manipulating unsuspecting islanders to leave Rongelap.

Through commentary of those in the room when the idea was hatched, this was Jeton’s vision and plan — the Rainbow Warrior was a vehicle that could assist in making it happen.

The narrator describes Jeton’s ongoing disbelief over repeated US government assurances of Rongelap’s safety. Indeed, though not a focus of the RNZ/ABC podcast, it was Rongelap’s self-evacuation that forced the US Congress to fund independent radiological studies of Rongelap Atoll that showed — surprise, surprise — that living on the atoll posed health risks and led to the US Congress establishing a $45 million Rongelap Resettlement Trust Fund.

Questions about the safety of the entirety of Rongelap Atoll linger today, bolstered by non-US government studies that have, over the past several years, pointed out a range of ongoing radiation contamination concerns.

The RNZ/ABC podcast dives into the 1954 Bravo hydrogen bomb test fallout exposure on Rongelap, their subsequent evacuation to Kwajalein, and later to Ejit Island for three years. It details their US-sponsored return in 1957 to Rongelap, one of the most radioactive locations in the world — by US government scientists’ own admission.

The narrative, that includes multiple interviews with people in the Marshall Islands, takes the listener through the experience Rongelap people have had since Bravo, including health problems and life in exile. It narrates possibly the first detailed piece of history about Jeton Anjain, the Rongelap leader who died of cancer in 1993, eight years after Rongelap people left their home atoll.

The podcast takes the listener into a room in Seattle, Washington, in 1984, where Greenpeace International leader Steve Sawyer met for the first time with Jeton and heard his plea for help to relocate Rongelap people using the Rainbow Warrior. The actual move from Rongelap to Mejatto in May 1985 — described in David Robie’s 1986 book Eyes of Fire: The Last Voyage of the Rainbow Warrior — is narrated through interviews and historical research.

Rongelap Islanders on board the Rainbow Warrior bound for Mejatto in May 1985. Image: © 1985 David Robie/Eyes Of Fire

The final episode of the podcast is heavily focused on the final leg of the Rainbow Warrior’s Pacific tour — a voyage cut short by French secret agents who bombed the Warrior while it was tied to the wharf in Auckland harbor, killing one crew member, Fernando Pereira.

It was Fernando’s photographs of the Rongelap evacuation that brought that chapter in the history of the Marshall Islands to life.

The Warrior was stopping to refuel and re-provision in Auckland prior to heading to the French nuclear testing zone in Moruroa Atoll. But that plan was quite literally bombed by the French government in one of the darkest moments of Pacific colonial history.

The six-part series is on YouTube and can be found by searching The Last Voyage of the Rainbow Warrior.

Scientists conduct radiological surveys of nuclear test fallout
A related story in this week’s edition of the Marshall Islands Journal.

Columbia University scientists have conducted a series of radiological surveys of nuclear test fallout in the northern Marshall Islands over the past nearly 10 years.

“Considerable contamination remains,” wrote scientists Hart Rapaport and Ivana Nikolić Hughes in the Scientific American in 2022. “On islands such as Bikini, the average background gamma radiation is double the maximum value stipulated by an agreement between the governments of the Marshall Islands and the US, even without taking into account other exposure pathways.

“Our findings, based on gathered data, run contrary to the Department of Energy’s. One conclusion is clear: absent a renewed effort to clean radiation from Bikini, families forced from their homes may not be able to safely return until the radiation naturally diminishes over decades and centuries.”

They also raised concern about the level of strontium-90 present in various islands from which they have taken soil and other samples. They point out that US government studies do not address strontium-90.

This radionuclide “can cause leukemia and bone and bone marrow cancer and has long been a source of health concerns at nuclear disasters such as Chernobyl and Fukushima,” Rapaport and Hughes said.

“Despite this, the US government’s published data don’t speak to the presence of this dangerous nuclear isotope.”

Their studies have found “consistently high values” of strontium-90 in northern atolls.

“Although detecting this radioisotope in sediment does not neatly translate into contamination in soil or food, the finding suggests the possibility of danger to ecosystems and people,” they state. “More than that, cleaning up strontium 90 and other contaminants in the Marshall Islands is possible.”

The Columbia scientists’ recommendations for action are straightforward: “Congress should appropriate funds, and a research agency, such as the National Science Foundation, should initiate a call for proposals to fund independent research with three aims.

“We must first further understand the current radiological conditions across the Marshall Islands; second, explore new technologies and methods already in use for future cleanup activity; and, third, train Marshallese scientists, such as those working with the nation’s National Nuclear Commission, to rebuild trust on this issue.”

Giff Johnson is editor of the Marshall Islands Journal. His review of the Rainbow Warrior podcast series was first published by the Journal and is republished here with permission.